Posted by C M Dodson on 24 Feb 2018, 18:51
Thank you for your question. First thing, it's Chris and secondly I am no expert!
You have effectively summarised the historical outcome in your analysis.
I have been considering the same questions for my re fight so you raise some very relevant points.
His Majesty's initial order to Ney was to seize the crossroads without delay but because his corps was not properly concentrated this action was delayed and was conducted in a fragmented manner.
I am going to use the actual timeframe for reinforcements for both sides with some sort of dice variable to potentially delay the arrival of units onto the table.
Furthermore, I will pinch an idea from Black Powder. In the tall crop areas Die 1-7 normal move, 8-10 half move and 11-12 halt. If you are in the wrong formation not being able to move, form square etc might be interesting!
If the Dutch Belgians etc are swept aside before Picton and the Brunswickers arrive the French could have intercepted them en route, a major French success.
However, if for instance the crossroads are taken and consolidated by say 5PM this would have allowed a French Corps to march to Ligny as per his Majesty's next order when the Prussian position at Ligny became apparent. Perhaps counting as a major French victory?
Tying up the Allied forces for the length of your game without being overwhelmed might count as a success in its own right. This is what Napoleon wanted Ney to do as the position at Ligny crystallised and the opportunity to crush Blucher became apparent.
Wellington 'promised' Blucher his 'conditional' support but must have known that his forces were too dispersed to concentrate and effectively assist on the 16th.
However, If substantial Allied forces can be despatched down the Namur road without losing the crossroads this would be potentially major Allied win as its prevention was what Neys new orders were all about.
However, the Namur road needed to be kept open to effect any support. Perhaps a substantial French force blocking this road might be a French win?
Ney inflicted more casualties on the Allies than they on him. A fifty per cent more Allied casualties than the French might be a minor French win?
Ney is often criticised for Quatre Bras and obviously the D'Erlon fiasco ( I will not have him present) was probably the key factor in losing the campaign.
However it is well to remember that he arrived at Imperial headquarters at 7PM on the 15th was given one ADC( Hermes), did not know his command or where it all was. He then fought the Allies., with its premier General to a standstill even though eventually outnumbered towards the close of the action, all with, allegedly a hangover!
I hope that I have provided a few ideas for you. If you can think of some more please let me know as I am open to ideas for this most interesting of battles.
Best wishes,
Chris